American generals moved troops depicted as blue and red squares and small wooden squares over maps of the Western Pacific and Taiwan, studying the possibilities of war without resorting to nuclear weapons on either side.
“The results show that under most — but not all — scenarios, Taiwan could repel an invasion,” said Mark Kansian, senior advisor at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, where the study is being held.
“However, the cost would be too high for Taiwan’s infrastructure, economy, and forces.” America in the Pacific.
The expert adds that the US military is strong, and Japan is supposed to give approval to the United States to use its bases, provided that it does not interfere directly.
Allied air and sea counterattacks hit China's amphibious and open-air fleet
Chinese exercises conducted in response to US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan confirmed Chinese capability that has already been assumed in the game.
Kansian said, “In 18 of the 22 rounds of the game played so far, Chinese missiles have sunk a large part of the US and Japanese surface fleet and destroyed hundreds of aircraft on the ground. exposed, which eventually led to the sinking of about 150 ships.
The reason for American losses is that the United States cannot launch a systematic campaign to bring down Chinese defenses before approaching them, and the United States must send forces to attack the Chinese fleet, especially amphibious ships, before achieving air or sea supremacy.
"To get a sense of the losses, in our latest iteration of our game, the United States lost more than 900 combat/attack aircraft in a four-week conflict. That's about half of the Navy and Air Force inventory."
As for Taiwan (Chinese), it will be partially able to stand up to the Chinese landings, but its navy and half of its air force will be destroyed in the first days of the war.
“We have not implemented the most pessimistic scenario, in which China may invade the entire island,” Cancian said.
He said the remaining four rounds of the exercises "will investigate some alternative scenarios - such as US delays in support of Taiwan, strict Japanese neutrality and a pessimistic scenario that gives China a variety of advantages."